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Joel Embiid
CHI @ PHIBulls @ 76ers · Today 7:30 PM ET
The line
Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made
Typical price −2355 sportsbooksbest −220
Game log
Under 1.5Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 3-pointers made.
Home and away
L10 · Under 1.5Hometonight
83%
5 of 6
Away
75%
3 of 4
L10 · Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made
- Average
- 0.7
- −0.8 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 70%
- −235, 5 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 65%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 66%
- estimate · fair −194
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −220 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −194, so it isn't worth it.
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 hr ago | +168 | −220Best |
| Pinnacle2 hr ago | +165 | −225 |
| betPARX2 hr ago | +175Best | −245 |
| BetRivers2 hr ago | +175Best | −245 |
| Bally Bet2 hr ago | +175Best | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET.
Every posted line
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2951 book | — | 5/10 | |
| +1755 books | −2354 books | 8/10 | |
| +5104 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +14001 book | — | 10/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+4%