Jevon Carter

Orlando Magic · G · #2

WSH @ ORLWizards @ Magic · Today 7:30 PM ET

The line

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made

−1792 sportsbooksbest −178

Game log

Under 1.5

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

at NO: 1, hit
vs DET: 0, hit
vs MIN: 3, missed
at CHI: 1, hit
at BOS: 1, hit
at DET: 0, hit
vs DET: 0, hit
at DET: 0, hit
vs MIN: 0, hit
at TOR: 2, missed

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 3-pointers made.

Home and away

L10 · Under 1.5

Hometonight

75%

3 of 4

Away

83%

5 of 6

L10 · Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made

Average: 0.8; −0.7 vs line
Median: 0.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 64%; −179, 2 sportsbooks
Market’s fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 67%; estimate · fair −205

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Research, not a pick. At −178 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −205, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel53 min ago	+138Best	−178Best
Bovada55 min ago	+135	−180
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price