Jaylen Brown
PHI @ CLE · Today 7:30 PMGame log against Over 25.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 25.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 16.5–43.7 pts+reb.
What's different today
Over 25.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 25.5 without him: 6 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
New team
8 games with PHI; before that, BOS
Over 25.5 with PHI: 6 of 8; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 36.4 min · 2026–27: 36.3 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at DET
Splits
Over 25.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 25.5 · L10Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
LeBron JamesF
Dominick BarlowFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CLE
Pts+Reb: 29 in 38 min, Oct 22 (home)
Over 25.5 hit in 8 of 13 games against CLE on record
L10 · Over 25.5
- Average
- 29
- +3.5 vs line
- Median
- 29.5
- +4 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −165
Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −165, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −17601 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −4861 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −1484 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1205 books | −1023 books | 7/10 | |
| −1202 books | −1152 books | 7/10 | |
| +1001 book | −1301 book | 6/10 | |
| +1754 books | — | 5/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 25.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 25.5 | Under 25.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet13 min ago | −120Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −120Best | −113 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −120Best | — |
| FanDuel2 min ago | −130 | −102 |
| Bovada13 min ago | −150 | +115Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
25.5−118 → −120 since first seen


