Jaylen Brown
PHI @ CLE · Today 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 23.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 23.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 14.2–40.7 pts+ast.
What's different today
Over 23.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 23.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
New team
8 games with PHI; before that, BOS
Over 23.5 with PHI: 5 of 8; his last 10 games before: 8 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 36.4 min · 2026–27: 36.3 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at DET
Splits
Over 23.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 23.5 · L10Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
LeBron JamesF
Dominick BarlowFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CLE
Pts+Ast: 25 in 38 min, Oct 22 (home)
Over 23.5 hit in 10 of 13 games against CLE on record
L10 · Over 23.5
- Average
- 26.2
- +2.7 vs line
- Median
- 25
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 51%
- at −103
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −135
Research, not a pick. At −102 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −135, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −9601 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −2404 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −1035 books | −1303 books | 6/10 | |
| +1234 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +2771 book | — | 4/10 | |
| +7001 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +16001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 23.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 23.5 | Under 23.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel6 min ago | −102Best | −130 |
| Bally Bet11 min ago | −103 | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | −103 | −134 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −103 | — |
| DraftKings11 min ago | −115 | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:21 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
23.5−108 → −103 since first seen