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Jaylen Brown

Philadelphia 76ers · G · #7

PHI @ CLE · Today 7:30 PM
OverUnder19.5
Over 19.5 Points, typical price −1127 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 19.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 19.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

  1. at PHI, 2026-04-30: 18, missed, 28 min
  2. vs PHI, 2026-05-02: 33, cleared, 40 min
  3. at NY, 2026-10-20: 19, missed, 35 min
  4. vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 21, cleared, 38 min
  5. vs MIL, 2026-10-24: 27, cleared, 35 min
  6. vs DET, 2026-10-25: 16, missed, 40 min
  7. at IND, 2026-10-28: 20, cleared, 34 min
  8. at CHA, 2026-10-31: 16, missed, 38 min
  9. vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 25, cleared, 33 min
  10. at DET, 2026-11-04: 30, cleared, 37 min
ClearedMissedThe 19.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 12.5–35.6 points.

What's different today

Over 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TodayDefense vs guards

    CLE allow 67.8 points a game to guards: 2nd most of 30

    8 games

  • Teammate out

    Dominick Barlow: Out (back)

    Over 19.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)

  • New team

    8 games with PHI; before that, BOS

    Over 19.5 with PHI: 5 of 8; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 36.4 min · 2026–27: 36.3 (8 games)

Splits

Over 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 19.5 · L10
  • Tyrese MaxeyG

  • Joel EmbiidC

  • LeBron JamesF

  • Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Points: 21 in 38 min, Oct 22 (home)

Over 19.5 hit in 8 of 13 games against CLE on record

L10 · Over 19.5

Average
22.5
+3 vs line
Median
20.5
+1 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −112
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
60%
estimate · fair −152

Research, not a pick. At −109 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −152, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2501 book+1851 book8/10
−1755 books+1451 book8/10
−1501 book+1151 book7/10
−1127 books−1186 books6/10
+1051 book−1351 book5/10
+1404 books−1701 book4/10
+1601 book−2151 book4/10
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 19.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 19.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 19.5Under 19.5
Bally Bet10 min ago−109Best—
betPARX4 min ago−109Best−124
BetRivers2 min ago−109Best−124
FanDuel1 min ago−112−118
Pinnacle10 min ago−118−112
DraftKings10 min ago−119−107Best
Bovada10 min ago−120−110
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 10:47 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

19.5

Over: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%
Jaylen Brown's full game log and splits