Jaylen Brown
PHI @ CLE · Today 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 19.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 19.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 12.5–35.6 points.
What's different today
Over 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs guards
CLE allow 67.8 points a game to guards: 2nd most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 19.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
New team
8 games with PHI; before that, BOS
Over 19.5 with PHI: 5 of 8; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 36.4 min · 2026–27: 36.3 (8 games)
Splits
Over 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 19.5 · L10Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
LeBron JamesF
Dominick BarlowFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CLE
Points: 21 in 38 min, Oct 22 (home)
Over 19.5 hit in 8 of 13 games against CLE on record
L10 · Over 19.5
- Average
- 22.5
- +3 vs line
- Median
- 20.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −110
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −150
Research, not a pick. At −106 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −150, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4102 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2783 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −1654 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1106 books | −1205 books | 6/10 | |
| +1433 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +2053 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +2442 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 19.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 19.5 | Under 19.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −106Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −106Best | −127 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −106Best | −129 |
| FanDuel2 min ago | −110 | −120 |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | −112 | −118 |
| DraftKings7 min ago | −118 | −108Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:50 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
19.5Over: −112 → −110 since first seen