Jarrett Allen

Cleveland Cavaliers · C · #31

CLE @ OKC · Live

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −1751 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

at NY, 2026-05-21: 1, cleared, 29 min
vs NY, 2026-05-23: 0, missed, 36 min
vs NY, 2026-05-25: 2, cleared, 26 min
at PHI, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 28 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 27 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 27 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-28: 1, cleared, 30 min
at ATL, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 30 min
at MIL, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 24 min
vs OKC, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Peyton Watson: Out (hamstring)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 4 of 6 (7 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs centers
OKC allow 0.6 steals a game to centers: 18th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 27.8 min · 2025–26: 27.7 (74 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs OKC

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Donovan MitchellG
James HardenG
Evan MobleyC
Peyton WatsonGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Cavaliers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OKC

Steals: 1 in 28 min, Nov 2 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against OKC on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −157

Research, not a pick. At −175 the price is worse than our fair −157, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−1751 book	pick'em only	7/10
	+2701 book	—	2/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet12 hr ago	−175Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −167 → −175 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Jarrett Allen's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.