Jarrett Allen
CLE @ OKC · LiveGame log against Under 8.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 8.5 Rebounds hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 2.8–12.3 rebounds.
What's different yesterday
Under 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Peyton Watson: Out (hamstring)
Under 8.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 3 of 6 (7 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs centers
OKC allow 6.6 rebounds a game to centers: 26th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 27.8 min · 2025–26: 27.7 (74 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs OKC
Splits
Under 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 8.5 · L10Donovan MitchellG
James HardenG
Evan MobleyC
Peyton WatsonGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Cavaliers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs OKC
Rebounds: 6 in 28 min, Nov 2 (home)
Under 8.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against OKC on record
L10 · Under 8.5
- Average
- 8.1
- −0.4 vs line
- Median
- 8
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −139
- Books’ fair
- 54%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −141
Research, not a pick. At −135 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −141, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5222 books | — | 1/10 | |
| −2774 books | +2101 book | 2/10 | |
| −1593 books | +1251 book | 4/10 | |
| +1054 books | −1393 books | 6/10 | |
| +1653 books | −2201 book | 7/10 | |
| +2303 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +3252 books | — | 9/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 8.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 8.5 | Under 8.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada22 hr ago | +105 | −135Best |
| Pinnacle22 hr ago | +105 | −139 |
| DraftKings22 hr ago | +106Best | −140 |
| Bally Bet22 hr ago | +100 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
8.5−129 → −139 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.


