Jarrett Allen

Cleveland Cavaliers · C · #31

CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PM

Over Under11.5

Over 11.5 Points, typical price −1305 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Peyton Watson: Out (hamstring)
Over 11.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 4 of 6 (7 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs centers
OKC allow 14.4 points a game to centers: 15th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 27.8 min · 2025–26: 27.7 (74 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs OKC

70%7 of 10L10

Over 11.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).

at NY, 2026-05-21: 13, cleared, 29 min
vs NY, 2026-05-23: 17, cleared, 36 min
vs NY, 2026-05-25: 6, missed, 26 min
at PHI, 2026-10-22: 14, cleared, 28 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-24: 21, cleared, 27 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-26: 10, missed, 27 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-28: 8, missed, 30 min
at ATL, 2026-10-29: 14, cleared, 30 min
at MIL, 2026-10-31: 25, cleared, 24 min
vs OKC, 2026-11-02: 14, cleared, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 11.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 6.1–22.1 points.

Splits

Over 11.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 11.5 · L10

Donovan MitchellG
James HardenG
Evan MobleyC
Peyton WatsonGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Cavaliers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OKC

Points: 14 in 28 min, Nov 2 (home)

Over 11.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against OKC on record

L10 · Over 11.5

Average: 14.2; +2.7 vs line
Median: 14; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −150

Research, not a pick. At −122 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −150, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−15801 book	—	10/10
−5621 book	—	9/10
−2405 books	—	8/10
−1305 books	−1043 books	7/10
+1031 book	−1311 book	7/10
+1333 books	—	6/10
+1902 books	—	3/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 11.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 11.5	Under 11.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−122Best	−108
Bally Bet7 min ago	−130	—
betPARX7 min ago	−130	−103Best
BetRivers7 min ago	−132	−104
DraftKings14 min ago	−135	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:03 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

−125 → −130 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Jarrett Allen's full game log and splits