Jared McCain

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #3

OKC @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under16.5

Over 16.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1045 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

29%4 of 14L20 · Without Williams

Over 16.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 4 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at PHX, 2026-04-27: 0, missed, 1 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 14, missed, 15 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 18, cleared, 18 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 3, missed, 10 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 15, missed, 16 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 9, missed, 18 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 18, cleared, 26 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 28, cleared, 27 min
at SA, 2026-05-24: 6, missed, 24 min
vs SA, 2026-05-26: 23, cleared, 33 min
at SA, 2026-05-28: 15, missed, 27 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 13, missed, 23 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 22, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 4, missed, 18 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 4, missed, 21 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 21, cleared, 30 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 14, missed, 29 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 14, missed, 28 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 16, missed, 27 min
vs CLE, 2026-11-04: 10, missed, 25 min

ClearedMissedThe 16.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 16.5 without him: 10 of 36; with him: 2 of 16 (52 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 16.5 without him: 2 of 11; with him: 10 of 41 (52 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 16.5 without him: 1 of 7; with him: 11 of 45 (52 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 27.8 min · 2026–27: 25 (8 games)

Splits

Over 16.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Over 16.5 cleared in 2 of 3 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 16.5 · L20

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Ajay MitchellG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

McCain didn't play the Jan 9 meeting; pts+reb the last time McCain faced them: 6 (Dec 30, 2025)

Over 16.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 16.5

Average: 13.9; −2.6 vs line
Median: 14; −2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 29%; 4 of 14
Price implies: 51%; at −104
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 21.9; 14 games · 17.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−7501 book	—	11/14
−1625 books	+1351 book	6/14
−1352 books	−1142 books	5/14
−1045 books	−1253 books	4/14
+1804 books	—	3/14
+5371 book	—	1/14
+13001 book	—	0/14

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 16.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 16.5	Under 16.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	−104Best	—
betPARX7 min ago	−104Best	−130
BetRivers5 min ago	−104Best	—
Bovada6 min ago	−105	−125Best
DraftKings6 min ago	−105	−125Best

Prices as of 9:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

−106 → −104 since first seen

Jared McCain's full game log and splits