Jared McCain

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #3

OKC @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under12.5

Over 12.5 Points, typical price −1077 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

36%5 of 14L20 · Without Williams

Over 12.5 Points cleared in 5 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at PHX, 2026-04-27: 0, missed, 1 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 12, missed, 15 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 18, cleared, 18 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 3, missed, 10 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 13, cleared, 16 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 7, missed, 18 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 12, missed, 26 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 24, cleared, 27 min
at SA, 2026-05-24: 4, missed, 24 min
vs SA, 2026-05-26: 20, cleared, 33 min
at SA, 2026-05-28: 13, cleared, 27 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 12, missed, 23 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 20, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 4, missed, 18 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 3, missed, 21 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 18, cleared, 30 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 10, missed, 29 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 10, missed, 28 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 7, missed, 27 min
vs CLE, 2026-11-04: 9, missed, 25 min

ClearedMissedThe 12.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 12.5 without him: 16 of 36; with him: 3 of 16 (52 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 12.5 without him: 4 of 11; with him: 15 of 41 (52 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 12.5 without him: 2 of 7; with him: 17 of 45 (52 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MEM allow 56.0 points a game to guards: 15th most of 30
8 games

Splits

Over 12.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Over 12.5 cleared in 2 of 3 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 12.5 · L20

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Ajay MitchellG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

McCain didn't play the Jan 9 meeting; points the last time McCain faced them: 2 (Dec 30, 2025)

Over 12.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 12.5

Average: 11.4; −1.1 vs line
Median: 11; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 36%; 5 of 14
Price implies: 52%; at −107
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 21.9; 14 games · 17.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 12.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2506 books	+2051 book	9/14
−2001 book	+1501 book	7/14
−1375 books	+1101 book	7/14
−1077 books	−1276 books	5/14
+1204 books	−1601 book	4/14
+1553 books	−2101 book	4/14
+1904 books	−2751 book	4/14

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 12.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 12.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 12.5	Under 12.5
Pinnacle4 min ago	−101Best	−131
FanDuel1 min ago	−104	−128
Bally Bet4 min ago	−106	—
betPARX1 min ago	−107	−127
BetRivers1 min ago	−107	−127
DraftKings4 min ago	−107	−119Best
Bovada4 min ago	−110	−120
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:27 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

12.5

Over: −130 → −107 since first seen

Jared McCain's full game log and splits