Jared McCain

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #3

OKC @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under11.5

Over 11.5 Points, typical price −1566 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%7 of 14L20 · Without Williams

Over 11.5 Points cleared in 7 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at PHX, 2026-04-27: 0, missed, 1 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 12, cleared, 15 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 18, cleared, 18 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 3, missed, 10 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 13, cleared, 16 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 7, missed, 18 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 12, cleared, 26 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 24, cleared, 27 min
at SA, 2026-05-24: 4, missed, 24 min
vs SA, 2026-05-26: 20, cleared, 33 min
at SA, 2026-05-28: 13, cleared, 27 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 12, cleared, 23 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 20, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 4, missed, 18 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 3, missed, 21 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 18, cleared, 30 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 10, missed, 29 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 10, missed, 28 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 7, missed, 27 min
vs CLE, 2026-11-04: 9, missed, 25 min

ClearedMissedThe 11.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 11.5 without him: 18 of 36; with him: 5 of 16 (52 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 11.5 without him: 4 of 11; with him: 19 of 41 (52 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 11.5 without him: 2 of 7; with him: 21 of 45 (52 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MEM allow 56.0 points a game to guards: 15th most of 30
8 games

Splits

Over 11.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Over 11.5 cleared in 2 of 3 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 11.5 · L20

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Ajay MitchellG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

McCain didn't play the Jan 9 meeting; points the last time McCain faced them: 2 (Dec 30, 2025)

Over 11.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 11.5

Average: 11.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 11; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 7 of 14
Price implies: 61%; at −156
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Minutes: 21.9; 14 games · 17.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 11.5 55%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−4201 book	—	10/14
−2843 books	—	9/14
−2252 books	+1651 book	7/14
−1566 books	−1052 books	7/14
−1203 books	−1083 books	5/14
+1104 books	−1451 book	4/14
+1392 books	−1851 book	4/14

Compare 6 sportsbooks at 11.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 11.5	Under 11.5
Bally Bet46 min ago	−129Best	—
betPARX46 min ago	−129Best	—
BetRivers46 min ago	−129Best	−105
DraftKings46 min ago	−156	—
Bovada45 min ago	−160	+120Best
FanDuel45 min ago	−162	—

Prices as of 8:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

12.5 → 11.5 since first seen

Jared McCain's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:09 PM ET.