James Harden

Cleveland Cavaliers · G · #1

CLE @ OKC · Live

Over Under28.5

Under 28.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1303 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 28.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

at NY, 2026-05-21: 26, hit, 32 min
vs NY, 2026-05-23: 29, missed, 41 min
vs NY, 2026-05-25: 18, hit, 33 min
at PHI, 2026-10-22: 24, hit, 33 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-24: 27, hit, 33 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-26: 33, missed, 39 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-28: 24, hit, 34 min
at ATL, 2026-10-29: 33, missed, 36 min
at MIL, 2026-10-31: 26, hit, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-11-02: 24, hit, 33 min

Under hitMissedThe 28.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 16.5–35.4 pts+reb+ast.

What's different yesterday

Under 28.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

6 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Peyton Watson playing; Watson is out yesterday. Without him: Under 28.5 in 1 of 1.

YesterdayTeammate out
Peyton Watson: Out (hamstring)
Under 28.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 4 of 6 (7 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs guards
OKC allow 82.9 points + rebounds + assists a game to guards: 21st most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.6 min · 2025–26: 35.4 (88 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs OKC

Splits

Under 28.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 28.5 · L10

Donovan MitchellG
Evan MobleyC
Peyton WatsonGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Cavaliers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OKC

Pts+Reb+Ast: 24 in 33 min, Nov 2 (home)

Under 28.5 hit in 1 of 6 games against OKC on record

L10 · Under 28.5

Average: 26.4; −2.1 vs line
Median: 26; −2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −136

Research, not a pick. At −118 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1801 book	+1351 book	4/10
−1451 book	+1101 book	6/10
−1272 books	−1102 books	7/10
−1043 books	−1302 books	7/10
+1183 books	−1601 book	8/10
+2703 books	—	10/10
+7701 book	—	10/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 28.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 28.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 28.5	Under 28.5
Pinnacle21 hr ago	−112	−118Best
Bovada21 hr ago	+100Best	−130
Bally Bet21 hr ago	−104	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

28.5

29.5 → 28.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

James Harden's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.