Jamal Shead

Toronto Raptors · G · #23

TOR @ MIL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Steals, typical price +1261 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).

vs CLE, 2026-05-01: 1, missed, 33 min
at CLE, 2026-05-03: 0, missed, 36 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-21: 1, missed, 16 min
at WSH, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 24 min
at MIN, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 21 min
vs ORL, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 23 min
vs ORL, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 23 min
at LAL, 2026-11-01: 3, cleared, 25 min
at LAC, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 20 min
at DEN, 2026-11-04: 1, missed, 20 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs guards
MIL allow 5.0 steals a game to guards: 11th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 22.2 min · 2026–27: 21.5 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at DEN
4th straight road game
Game lines
TOR −6.5 · total 229.5 (6 sportsbooks)
TOR's games this season closed at 228.6 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIL in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 3 of 7 against MIL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Scottie BarnesFDay-To-Day
RJ BarrettF
Immanuel QuickleyG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Raptors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIL

Steals: 2 in 23 min, Feb 22 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 3 of 7 games against MIL on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 44%; at +126
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Minutes: 24.1; 10 games · 23.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3551 book	—	8/10
+1261 book	pick'em only	3/10
+3771 book	—	1/10
+9601 book	—	0/10
+19601 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings1 min ago	+126Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:17 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +127 → +126 since first seen

Jamal Shead's full game log and splits