Jamal Shead

Toronto Raptors · G · #23

TOR @ DEN · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Assists, typical price −1334 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs guards
DEN allow 17.0 assists a game to guards: 4th most of 30
6 games
Minutes
Last 5: 22.4 min · 2025–26: 23.3 (89 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at LAC
3rd straight road game · At altitude: Denver, 5,280 ft
Game lines
TOR +4.5 · total 230.5 (8 sportsbooks)
TOR's games this season closed at 228.4 on average (7 games)

90%9 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Assists cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 on the road).

at CLE, 2026-04-29: 7, cleared, 34 min
vs CLE, 2026-05-01: 6, cleared, 33 min
at CLE, 2026-05-03: 7, cleared, 36 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-21: 5, cleared, 16 min
at WSH, 2026-10-23: 5, cleared, 24 min
at MIN, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 21 min
vs ORL, 2026-10-28: 7, cleared, 23 min
vs ORL, 2026-10-30: 8, cleared, 23 min
at LAL, 2026-11-01: 6, cleared, 25 min
at LAC, 2026-11-02: 6, cleared, 20 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DEN in his last 10; Over 4.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L10

RJ BarrettF
Scottie BarnesF
Immanuel QuickleyG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Raptors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DEN

Assists: 5 in 21 min, Mar 20 (away)

Over 4.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against DEN on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 5.7; +1.2 vs line
Median: 6; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −133
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Minutes: 25.5; 10 games · 23.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−35001 book	—	9/10
−10002 books	—	9/10
−2903 books	+2101 book	9/10
−1334 books	+1004 books	9/10
+1423 books	−2001 book	7/10
+2592 books	—	4/10
+4502 books	—	1/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
Pinnacle15 min ago	−124Best	−107
Bovada15 min ago	−130	+100
DraftKings15 min ago	−133	+101
FanDuel3 min ago	−138	+104Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:45 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over: −166 → −133 since first seen

Jamal Shead's full game log and splits