Jalen Green
ORL @ PHX · Live
Game log against Over 2.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–6 assists.
What's different today
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 2.5 without him: 16 of 26; with him: 7 of 16 (42 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Over 2.5 without him: 5 of 11; with him: 18 of 31 (42 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
ORL allow 15.7 assists a game to guards: 16th most of 30
7 games
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ORL in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 2.5 · L10Devin BookerG
Dillon BrooksF
Miles BridgesF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ORL
Assists: 2 in 20 min, Mar 31 (away)
Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against ORL on record
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 3.4
- +0.9 vs line
- Median
- 3
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 67%
- at −205
- Books’ fair
- 60%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −146
Research, not a pick. At −174 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −146, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −6701 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −2055 books | +1311 book | 6/10 | |
| +1154 books | −1761 book | 4/10 | |
| +3083 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +4752 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +8502 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +23001 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings1 hr ago | −174Best | — |
| Pinnacle1 hr ago | −176 | +131Best |
| Bally Bet1 hr ago | −205 | — |
| betPARX1 hr ago | −205 | — |
| BetRivers1 hr ago | −205 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5−166 → −205 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.