Jalen Brunson
CHI @ NY · LiveGame log against Over 0.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–3 steals.
What's different yesterday
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickYesterdayTeammate out
Josh Hart: Out (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 14; with him: 47 of 99 (113 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
CHI allow 5.9 steals a game to guards: 7th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 34.4 min · 2025–26: 35.5 (94 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BKN
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Karl-Anthony TownsC
OG AnunobyF
Josh HartGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Knicks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CHI
Steals: 2 in 35 min, Oct 28 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 9 games against CHI on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.1
- +0.6 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 69%
- at −220
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −164
Research, not a pick. At −167 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −164, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2202 books | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| +2102 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +10001 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +23001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings12 hr ago | −167Best | — |
| Bally Bet12 hr ago | −220 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: −210 → −220 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.


