Jalen Brunson
CHI @ NY · LiveGame log against Under 10.5
80%8 of 10L10
Under 10.5 Reb+Ast hit in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 4.5–13.1 reb+ast.
What's different yesterday
Under 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pickAll 8 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Josh Hart playing; Hart is out yesterday. Without him: Under 10.5 in 7 of 14.
YesterdayTeammate out
Josh Hart: Out (ankle)
Under 10.5 without him: 7 of 14; with him: 58 of 99 (113 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 34.4 min · 2025–26: 35.5 (94 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BKN
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
CHI 1st, NY 25th of 30
Splits
Under 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 10.5 · L10Karl-Anthony TownsC
OG AnunobyF
Josh HartGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Knicks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CHI
Reb+Ast: 8 in 35 min, Oct 28 (away)
Under 10.5 hit in 4 of 9 games against CHI on record
L10 · Under 10.5
- Average
- 8.4
- −2.1 vs line
- Median
- 8
- −2.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −151
Research, not a pick. At −115 the price beats our fair −151, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5751 book | — | 3/10 | |
| −1902 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1152 books | −1151 book | 8/10 | |
| +1351 book | — | 9/10 | |
| +4402 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +14001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| +25001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 10.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 10.5 | Under 10.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings25 hr ago | −115 | −115Best |
| Bally Bet25 hr ago | −114Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
10.59.5 → 10.5 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.


