Jalen Brunson

New York Knicks · G · #11

CHI @ NY · Tomorrow 7:30 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1612 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs guards
CHI allow 9.7 threes made a game to guards: 3rd most of 30
7 games
TonightGame lines
NY −12.5 · total 232.5 (7 sportsbooks): a big spread
NY's games this season closed at 224.8 on average (7 games)
Minutes
Last 5: 34.4 min · 2025–26: 35.5 (94 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BKN

40%4 of 10L10

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs SA, 2026-06-08: 3, missed, 35 min
vs SA, 2026-06-10: 3, missed, 44 min
at SA, 2026-06-13: 4, missed, 41 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-20: 1, hit, 34 min
at BOS, 2026-10-23: 2, hit, 37 min
vs ORL, 2026-10-25: 1, hit, 32 min
vs DET, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 36 min
at CHI, 2026-10-28: 6, missed, 35 min
at PHI, 2026-10-30: 3, missed, 35 min
vs BKN, 2026-11-02: 4, missed, 34 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1–4 3-pointers made.

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Karl-Anthony TownsC
OG AnunobyF
Josh HartGDay-To-Day

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Knicks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHI

3-Pointers Made: 6 in 35 min, Oct 28 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 5 of 9 games against CHI on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −161
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−14852 books	—	1/10
−2502 books	—	3/10
+1212 books	−1612 books	4/10
+3202 books	—	7/10
+7202 books	—	9/10
+15202 books	—	9/10
+31122 books	—	10/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel3 min ago	+120	−160Best
DraftKings2 min ago	+123Best	−162
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:14 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under −172 → −161 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Jalen Brunson's full game log and splits