Jake LaRavia
LAL @ SAC · LiveGame log against Over 1.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–4 steals+blocks.
What's different today
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickMinutes
Last 5: 26.6 min · 2025–26: 24.2 (90 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs MIA
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
SAC 7th, LAL 18th of 30
SAC injuries
Maxime Raynaud (C, Out, 31.8 min); Keegan Murray (F, Out, 27.5 min); Daeqwon Plowden (G, Out, 19.4 min)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against SAC in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 7 against SAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L10Luka DoncicG
Austin ReavesG
Walker KesslerC
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lakers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs SAC
Steals+Blocks: 1 in 22 min, Mar 1 (home)
Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 7 games against SAC on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 2.3
- +0.8 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −148
- Books’ fair
- —
- no Under posted
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −158
Research, not a pick. At −148 the price beats our fair −158, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | L10 |
|---|---|---|
| −6701 book | 10/10 | |
| −1481 book | 7/10 | |
| +1901 book | 4/10 | |
| +4401 book | 1/10 |
Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ steals+blocks”), with no Under to take.
Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Bally Bet1 hr ago | −148Best |
Prices as of 10:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: −150 → −148 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 10:13 PM ET.


