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Jake LaRavia
MIA @ LALHeat @ Lakers · Today 10:00 PM ET
The line
Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made
Typical price −2151 sportsbook
Game log
Over 0.5Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 3-pointers made.
Home and away
L10 · Over 0.5Hometonight
75%
3 of 4
Away
50%
3 of 6
L10 · Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made
- Average
- 0.9
- +0.4 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 68%
- −215, 1 sportsbook
- Market’s fair
- 64%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −143
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −215 the price is worse than our fair −143, so it isn't worth it.
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 hr ago | −215Best | +164Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:07 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2151 book | +1641 book | 6/10 | |
| +2401 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +8301 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +20001 book | — | 0/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+3%
Rest−3%