Jaden McDaniels

Minnesota Timberwolves · F · #3

MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PM

Over Under16.5

Over 16.5 Points, typical price −1086 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Anthony Edwards: Out (knee)
Over 16.5 without him: 14 of 22; with him: 25 of 81 (103 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (achilles)
Over 16.5 without him: 7 of 16; with him: 32 of 87 (103 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
HOU allow 40.5 points a game to forwards: 21st most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 34.6 min · 2026–27: 32.8 (8 games)

67%4 of 6L20 · Without Edwards

Over 16.5 Points cleared in 4 of 6 games without Anthony Edwards (his last 20 games).

at DEN, 2026-04-18: 16, missed, 33 min (not counted)
at DEN, 2026-04-20: 14, missed, 37 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-04-23: 20, cleared, 41 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-04-25: 12, missed, 33 min (not counted)
at DEN, 2026-04-27: 13, missed, 27 min
vs DEN, 2026-04-30: 32, cleared, 45 min
at SA, 2026-05-04: 16, missed, 36 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-06: 12, missed, 20 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-08: 17, cleared, 40 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-10: 14, missed, 41 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-12: 17, cleared, 30 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-15: 13, missed, 23 min (not counted)
at MIA, 2026-10-21: 17, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-10-23: 15, missed, 30 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-10-25: 14, missed, 31 min (not counted)
at CLE, 2026-10-26: 14, missed, 37 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-10-28: 19, cleared, 35 min
vs LAC, 2026-10-30: 23, cleared, 33 min
at SA, 2026-10-31: 19, cleared, 39 min
vs MIL, 2026-11-02: 13, missed, 29 min

ClearedMissedThe 16.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 16.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against HOU in his last 20; Over 16.5 cleared in 2 of 7 against HOU on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 16.5 · L20

Anthony EdwardsGOut
LaMelo BallG
Ayo DosunmuG
Donte DiVincenzoGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Timberwolves count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs HOU

Points: 16 in 35 min, Apr 10 (away)

Over 16.5 hit in 2 of 7 games against HOU on record

L20 · Without Edwards · Over 16.5

Average: 19.8; +3.3 vs line
Median: 19; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 67%; 4 of 6
Price implies: 52%; at −108
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 34.7; 6 games · 32 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Edwards

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2303 books	—	4/6
−1722 books	—	4/6
−1363 books	—	4/6
−1086 books	−1255 books	4/6
+1174 books	—	4/6
+1805 books	—	2/6
+2753 books	—	2/6

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 16.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 16.5	Under 16.5
Pinnacle6 min ago	−102Best	−130
DraftKings6 min ago	−106	−121Best
FanDuel5 min ago	−106	−125
Bally Bet6 min ago	−108	—
betPARX8 min ago	−108	−124
BetRivers8 min ago	−109	−125
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

−110 → −108 since first seen

Jaden McDaniels's full game log and splits