Isaiah Jackson

LA Clippers · F · #23

MIA @ LAC · Live

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks, typical price −1411 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

vs MIL, 2026-03-23: 2, cleared, 17 min
vs TOR, 2026-03-25: 3, cleared, 23 min
at IND, 2026-03-27: 0, missed, 14 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-21: 1, missed, 15 min
at LAL, 2026-10-23: 4, cleared, 28 min
at OKC, 2026-10-25: 3, cleared, 24 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 19 min
at MIN, 2026-10-30: 7, cleared, 22 min
at GS, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 22 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 26 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 steals+blocks.

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayMinutes
Last 5: 22.6 min · 2025–26: 16.5 (55 games) · up 37%
Teammate out
Jordan Miller: Out (shoulder)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: 8 of 16 (24 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Bradley Beal: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 12 of 24; with him: no games (24 games as teammates)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs TOR

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Darius GarlandG
Rui HachimuraF
Keaton WaglerG
Jordan MillerGOut
Bradley BealGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Clippers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Jackson didn't play the Dec 1, 2025 meeting; steals+blocks the last time Jackson faced them: 1 (Dec 2, 2023)

Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against MIA on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −141
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −141 the price is worse than our fair −131, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−6251 book	7/10
	−1411 book	5/10
	+2051 book	4/10
	+4801 book	2/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ steals+blocks”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
Bally Bet6 hr ago	−141Best

Prices as of 10:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −150 → −141 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Isaiah Jackson's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:43 PM ET.