Isaiah Jackson

LA Clippers · F · #23

MIA @ LAC · Tomorrow 10:30 PM

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Points, typical price −1251 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightMinutes
Last 5: 22.6 min · 2025–26: 16.5 (55 games) · up 37%
Teammate out
Jordan Miller: Out (shoulder)
Over 8.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: 7 of 16 (24 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Bradley Beal: Out (knee)
Over 8.5 without him: 12 of 24; with him: no games (24 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIA allow 42.6 points a game to forwards: 15th most of 30
7 games

50%5 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Points cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs MIL, 2026-03-23: 6, missed, 17 min
vs TOR, 2026-03-25: 12, cleared, 23 min
at IND, 2026-03-27: 4, missed, 14 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-21: 13, cleared, 15 min
at LAL, 2026-10-23: 6, missed, 28 min
at OKC, 2026-10-25: 10, cleared, 24 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-28: 4, missed, 19 min
at MIN, 2026-10-30: 10, cleared, 22 min
at GS, 2026-11-01: 5, missed, 22 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-02: 19, cleared, 26 min

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Over 8.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L10

Darius GarlandG
Rui HachimuraF
Keaton WaglerG
Jordan MillerGOut
Bradley BealGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Clippers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Jackson didn't play the Dec 1, 2025 meeting; points the last time Jackson faced them: 8 (Dec 2, 2023)

Over 8.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against MIA on record

L10 · Over 8.5

Average: 8.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 8; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Minutes: 21; 10 games · 16.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 52%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5801 book	—	8/10
−1251 book	−1061 book	5/10
+1141 book	—	5/10
+5001 book	—	1/10
+15001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−125Best	−106Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:35 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

−112 → −125 since first seen

Isaiah Jackson's full game log and splits