Isaiah Collier

Utah Jazz · G · #8

UTAH @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under7.5

Over 7.5 Points, typical price +1081 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (knee)
Over 7.5 without him: 13 of 15; with him: 4 of 7 (22 games as teammates)
TodayMinutes
Last 5: 18 min · 2025–26: 25.7 (59 games) · down 30%
Teammate out
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (foot)
Over 7.5 without him: 26 of 33; with him: 20 of 33 (66 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
NO allow 57.7 points a game to guards: 13th most of 30
7 games

87%13 of 15L20 · Without Jackson

Over 7.5 Points cleared in 13 of 15 games without Jaren Jackson Jr. (his last 20 games).

vs SAC, 2026-02-11: 12, cleared, 27 min (not counted)
vs POR, 2026-02-12: 15, cleared, 36 min
at MEM, 2026-02-20: 24, cleared, 25 min
at HOU, 2026-02-23: 17, cleared, 30 min
vs NO, 2026-02-26: 11, cleared, 27 min
vs NO, 2026-02-28: 21, cleared, 33 min
vs DEN, 2026-03-02: 10, cleared, 20 min
at PHI, 2026-03-04: 18, cleared, 26 min
at WSH, 2026-03-05: 27, cleared, 29 min
vs NY, 2026-03-11: 9, cleared, 19 min
at POR, 2026-03-13: 17, cleared, 30 min
at SAC, 2026-03-15: 21, cleared, 25 min
at MIN, 2026-03-18: 14, cleared, 28 min
at MEM, 2026-10-21: 7, missed, 16 min (not counted)
vs NO, 2026-10-23: 10, cleared, 18 min (not counted)
vs LAL, 2026-10-25: 6, missed, 13 min (not counted)
vs MEM, 2026-10-26: 7, missed, 21 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-10-28: 7, missed, 24 min
vs POR, 2026-10-31: 8, cleared, 20 min
at SA, 2026-11-02: 7, missed, 12 min

ClearedMissedThe 7.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 3.6–19 points.

Splits

Over 7.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 7.5 · L20

Keyonte GeorgeG
Lauri MarkkanenF
Jaren Jackson Jr.FOut
Jusuf NurkicCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Jazz count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NO

Points: 10 in 18 min, Oct 23 (home)

Over 7.5 hit in 6 of 6 games against NO on record

L20 · Without Jackson · Over 7.5

Average: 15.1; +7.6 vs line
Median: 15; +7.5 vs line
Hit rate: 87%; 13 of 15
Price implies: 48%; at +108
Books’ fair: 45%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −135

Research, not a pick. At +108 the price beats our fair −135, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Jackson

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L20
	+1081 book	−1441 book	13/15

Compare 1 sportsbook at 7.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 7.5	Under 7.5
Pinnacle7 min ago	+108Best	−144Best

Prices as of 2:17 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

7.5

Over −114 → +108 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Isaiah Collier's full game log and splits