GG Jackson
NO @ MEM · Mon, Nov 2 8:00 PM
Game log against Over 14.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 14.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (6 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 8.5–26.8 pts+reb.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 14.5
- Average
- 17
- +2.5 vs line
- Median
- 18.5
- +4 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −107
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −144
Research, not a pick. At −107 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −144, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3603 books | — | 7/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 7/10 | |
| −1073 books | −1252 books | 7/10 | |
| +2503 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +7301 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +17401 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 14.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 14.5 | Under 14.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet14 hr ago | −107Best | — |
| DraftKings14 hr ago | −107Best | −123Best |
| betPARX14 hr ago | −108 | −127 |
Prices as of 8:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
14.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 8:12 PM ET.