Evan Mobley

Cleveland Cavaliers · C · #4

CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PM

Over Under12.5

Under 12.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1301 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Minutes
Last 5: 32.2 min · 2025–26: 32.7 (83 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs OKC
Game lines
CLE +2.5 · total 228.5 (7 sportsbooks)
CLE's games this season closed at 234.6 on average (7 games)
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
OKC 21st, CLE 10th of 30

70%7 of 10L10

Under 12.5 Reb+Ast hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).

at NY, 2026-05-21: 9, hit, 37 min
vs NY, 2026-05-23: 8, hit, 36 min
vs NY, 2026-05-25: 11, hit, 33 min
at PHI, 2026-10-22: 10, hit, 34 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-24: 14, missed, 35 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-26: 13, missed, 38 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-28: 14, missed, 32 min
at ATL, 2026-10-29: 11, hit, 33 min
at MIL, 2026-10-31: 8, hit, 25 min
vs OKC, 2026-11-02: 11, hit, 33 min

Under hitMissedThe 12.5 lineMinutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 6.2–15.9 reb+ast.

Count only

Under 12.5 · L10

With or without

Under 12.5 · L10

Donovan MitchellG
James HardenG
Peyton WatsonGDay-To-Day

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Cavaliers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OKC

Reb+Ast: 11 in 33 min, Nov 2 (home)

Under 12.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against OKC on record

L10 · Under 12.5

Average: 10.9; −1.6 vs line
Median: 11; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −136

Research, not a pick. At −130 the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	pick'em only	pick'em only	7/10
	−1021 book	−1301 book	7/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 12.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 12.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 12.5	Under 12.5
FanDuel1 min ago	−102Best	−130Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:34 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

12.5

No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Evan Mobley's full game log and splits