Donovan Mitchell

Cleveland Cavaliers · G · #45

CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Rebounds, typical price −1375 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Peyton Watson: Out (hamstring)
Over 4.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 4 of 6 (7 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs guards
OKC allow 17.3 rebounds a game to guards: 5th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 32.4 min · 2025–26: 34 (88 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs OKC

50%5 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Rebounds cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

at NY, 2026-05-21: 4, missed, 39 min
vs NY, 2026-05-23: 1, missed, 38 min
vs NY, 2026-05-25: 4, missed, 32 min
at PHI, 2026-10-22: 10, cleared, 35 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-24: 5, cleared, 35 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-26: 5, cleared, 38 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-28: 5, cleared, 31 min
at ATL, 2026-10-29: 3, missed, 33 min
at MIL, 2026-10-31: 4, missed, 24 min
vs OKC, 2026-11-02: 5, cleared, 36 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L10

James HardenG
Evan MobleyC
Peyton WatsonGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Cavaliers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OKC

Rebounds: 5 in 36 min, Nov 2 (home)

Over 4.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against OKC on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 4.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 4.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 58%; at −137
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Minutes: 34.1; 10 games · 34 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 54%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6601 book	—	9/10
−2865 books	—	8/10
−1375 books	+1024 books	5/10
+1355 books	—	1/10
+2601 book	—	1/10
+4005 books	—	1/10
+8301 book	—	1/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−130Best	−102
DraftKings3 min ago	−135	+103
Bally Bet3 min ago	−137	—
betPARX5 min ago	−137	+104Best
BetRivers5 min ago	−141	+102
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:54 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over −128 → −137 since first seen

Donovan Mitchell's full game log and splits