Donovan Clingan
POR @ PHX · LiveGame log against Under 2.5
62%8 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe
Under 2.5 Steals+Blocks hit in 8 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for Wednesday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 steals+blocks.
What's different on Wednesday
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick3 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Shaedon Sharpe playing; Sharpe is out on Wednesday. Without him: Under 2.5 in 17 of 37.
WedTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 2.5 without him: 17 of 37; with him: 34 of 51 (88 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 2.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 3 of 4 (6 games as teammates). A small sample.
Minutes
Last 5: 24.6 min · 2025–26: 26.8 (82 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at DEN
3rd straight road game
Splits
Under 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L20Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out on Wednesday. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs PHX
Steals+Blocks: 0 in 21 min, Oct 21 (home)
Under 2.5 hit in 6 of 8 games against PHX on record
L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2.7
- +0.2 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 62%
- 8 of 13
- Price implies
- —
- 1 pick'em app, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −159
Research, not a pick. No sportsbook prices the Under 2.5 right now; it's posted on 1 pick'em app. Our fair price is −159.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2451 book | — | 5/13 | |
| +1201 book | pick'em only | 8/13 | |
| +2901 book | — | 8/13 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet39 hr ago | +120Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Under isn't priced at 2.5 right now.
What moved our number
This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.


