Donovan Clingan
POR @ PHX · Today 9:00 PMWhat's different today
Under 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pick3 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Shaedon Sharpe playing; Sharpe is out today. Without him: Under 12.5 in 14 of 37.
TodayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 12.5 without him: 14 of 37; with him: 26 of 51 (88 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 12.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 3 of 4 (6 games as teammates). A small sample.
Minutes
Last 5: 24.6 min · 2025–26: 26.8 (82 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at DEN
3rd straight road game
Game log against Under 12.5
62%8 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe
Under 12.5 Reb+Ast hit in 8 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 5.8–17.1 reb+ast.
Splits
Under 12.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 12.5 · L20Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs PHX
Reb+Ast: 9 in 21 min, Oct 21 (home)
Under 12.5 hit in 5 of 8 games against PHX on record
L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 12.5
- Average
- 12.1
- −0.4 vs line
- Median
- 11
- −1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 62%
- 8 of 13
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −132
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −131
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −10001 book | — | 2/13 | |
| −3701 book | — | 5/13 | |
| −1651 book | — | 7/13 | |
| −1152 books | −1322 books | 8/13 | |
| +1801 book | — | 9/13 | |
| +5001 book | — | 11/13 | |
| +9501 book | — | 12/13 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 12.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 12.5 | Under 12.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings7 min ago | −115 | −114Best |
| FanDuel1 min ago | +100Best | −132 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
12.5Under: −136 → −132 since first seen


