Donovan Clingan
POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Under 24.5
69%9 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe
Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 9 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 10–34.3 pts+reb+ast.
What's different today
Under 24.5 · facts from past games, not a pick3 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Shaedon Sharpe playing; Sharpe is out today. Without him: Under 24.5 in 15 of 38.
TodayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 24.5 without him: 15 of 38; with him: 31 of 51 (89 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs centers
LAL allow 17.3 points + rebounds + assists a game to centers: 29th most of 30
9 games
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 24.5 without him: 1 of 3; with him: 4 of 4 (7 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 26.2 min · 2025–26: 26.8 (82 games)
Splits
Under 24.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 24.5 · L20Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs LAL
Pts+Reb+Ast: 20 in 26 min, Oct 27 (away)
Under 24.5 hit in 4 of 7 games against LAL on record
L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 24.5
- Average
- 21.8
- −2.7 vs line
- Median
- 20
- −4.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 69%
- 9 of 13
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −109
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −132
Research, not a pick. At −108 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −132, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14801 book | — | 3/13 | |
| −3853 books | — | 4/13 | |
| −1304 books | −1092 books | 9/13 | |
| −1082 books | −1252 books | 9/13 | |
| +1953 books | — | 10/13 | |
| +5561 book | — | 11/13 | |
| +13201 book | — | 13/13 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 24.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 24.5 | Under 24.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 min ago | −122 | −108Best |
| DraftKings8 min ago | −120Best | −109 |
| betPARX3 min ago | −130 | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −130 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:06 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
24.5−102 → −109 since first seen


