Donovan Clingan
POR @ PHX · Today 9:00 PMGame log against Under 22.5
69%9 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe
Under 22.5 Pts+Reb hit in 9 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 7.8–29.8 pts+reb.
What's different today
Under 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pick4 of his 9 hits in the last 10 came with Shaedon Sharpe playing; Sharpe is out today. Without him: Under 22.5 in 17 of 37.
TodayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 22.5 without him: 17 of 37; with him: 31 of 51 (88 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 22.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 4 of 4 (6 games as teammates). A small sample.
Minutes
Last 5: 24.6 min · 2025–26: 26.8 (82 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at DEN
3rd straight road game
Splits
Under 22.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 22.5 · L20Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs PHX
Pts+Reb: 18 in 21 min, Oct 21 (home)
Under 22.5 hit in 6 of 8 games against PHX on record
L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 22.5
- Average
- 19.8
- −2.7 vs line
- Median
- 19
- −3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 69%
- 9 of 13
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −121
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −157
Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −157, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2005 books | — | 8/13 | |
| −1701 book | +1301 book | 8/13 | |
| −1352 books | −1022 books | 8/13 | |
| −1055 books | −1213 books | 9/13 | |
| +1435 books | — | 10/13 | |
| +3605 books | — | 11/13 | |
| +10002 books | — | 12/13 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 22.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 22.5 | Under 22.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada5 min ago | −110 | −120Best |
| DraftKings5 min ago | −109 | −121 |
| betPARX4 min ago | −105Best | −130 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −105Best | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −105Best | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
22.521.5 → 22.5 since first seen


