Donovan Clingan

Portland Trail Blazers · C · #23

POR @ LAL · Tomorrow 10:00 PM

Over Under12.5

Under 12.5 Points, typical price −1302 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

77%10 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe

Under 12.5 Points hit in 10 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).

vs DAL, 2026-03-27: 6, hit, 32 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-29: 6, hit, 21 min
at LAC, 2026-03-31: 4, hit, 29 min
vs NO, 2026-04-02: 4, hit, 22 min
at DEN, 2026-04-06: 18, missed, 30 min
at SA, 2026-04-08: 11, hit, 28 min
vs LAC, 2026-04-10: 18, missed, 28 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-04-12: 13, missed, 24 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-19: 4, hit, 22 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-21: 9, hit, 24 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-24: 7, hit, 20 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-26: 5, hit, 14 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-28: 10, hit, 27 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-21: 11, hit, 21 min
at SAC, 2026-10-23: 8, hit, 21 min
at LAL, 2026-10-27: 9, hit, 26 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-29: 11, hit, 29 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-31: 4, hit, 15 min
at DEN, 2026-11-02: 17, missed, 32 min
at PHX, 2026-11-04: 24, missed, 29 min

Under hitMissedThe 12.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tomorrow's game: a typical game lands 2.4–19.1 points.

What's different tomorrow

Under 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

3 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Shaedon Sharpe playing; Sharpe is out tomorrow. Without him: Under 12.5 in 19 of 38.

TomorrowTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 12.5 without him: 19 of 38; with him: 33 of 51 (89 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 12.5 without him: 1 of 3; with him: 4 of 4 (7 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
LAL allow 9.4 points a game to centers: 26th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 26.2 min · 2025–26: 26.8 (82 games)

Splits

Under 12.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 12.5 · L20

Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tomorrow. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAL

Points: 9 in 26 min, Oct 27 (away)

Under 12.5 hit in 5 of 7 games against LAL on record

L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 12.5

Average: 10.2; −2.3 vs line
Median: 9; −3.5 vs line
Hit rate: 77%; 10 of 13
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −145

Research, not a pick. At −130 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −145, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−30001 book	—	3/13
−2601 book	—	7/13
−1022 books	−1302 books	10/13
+1761 book	—	10/13
+6001 book	—	12/13
+17001 book	—	13/13

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 12.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 12.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 12.5	Under 12.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−102Best	−130Best
Pinnacle4 min ago	−102Best	−130Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:36 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

12.5

Under: −132 → −130 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Donovan Clingan's full game log and splits