Donovan Clingan
POR @ PHX · LiveGame log against Over 0.5
54%7 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe
Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 7 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 3-pointers made.
What's different yesterday
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick4 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Shaedon Sharpe playing; Sharpe is out yesterday. Without him: Over 0.5 in 25 of 37.
YesterdayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 25 of 37; with him: 31 of 51 (88 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 3 of 4 (6 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs centers
PHX allow 0.6 threes made a game to centers: 21st most of 30
5 games
Minutes
Last 5: 24.6 min · 2025–26: 26.8 (82 games)
Splits
Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L20Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs PHX
3-Pointers Made: 2 in 21 min, Oct 21 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against PHX on record
L20 · Without Sharpe · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 54%
- 7 of 13
- Price implies
- 72%
- at −258
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Our chance
- 63%
- estimate · fair −171
Research, not a pick. At −182 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −171, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Sharpe| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2582 books | pick'em only | 7/13 | |
| +1732 books | — | 4/13 | |
| +5502 books | — | 2/13 | |
| +14801 book | — | 0/13 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet9 hr ago | −182Best | — |
| DraftKings9 hr ago | −258 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.51.5 → 0.5 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.


