Donovan Clingan
POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
54%7 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe
Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 7 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick3 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Shaedon Sharpe playing; Sharpe is out today. Without him: Over 0.5 in 26 of 38.
TodayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 26 of 38; with him: 31 of 51 (89 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: 3 of 4 (7 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
LAL allow 0.7 threes made a game to centers: 20th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 26.2 min · 2025–26: 26.8 (82 games)
Splits
Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L20Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs LAL
3-Pointers Made: 2 in 26 min, Oct 27 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 7 games against LAL on record
L20 · Without Sharpe · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 54%
- 7 of 13
- Price implies
- 68%
- at −215
- Books’ fair
- 60%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 65%
- estimate · fair −182
Research, not a pick. At −186 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −182, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Sharpe| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2156 books | +1352 books | 7/13 | |
| +2356 books | — | 4/13 | |
| +6506 books | — | 2/13 | |
| +17803 books | — | 0/13 | |
| +30001 book | — | 0/13 | |
| +45001 book | — | 0/13 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −186Best | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −186Best | +135Best |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −186Best | +135Best |
| DraftKings5 min ago | −215 | — |
| FanDuel5 min ago | −215 | — |
| Bovada5 min ago | −260 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:21 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: −220 → −215 since first seen


