Dillon Brooks
ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PMGame log against Over 22.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 12.6–36.6 pts+reb+ast.
What's different today
Over 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs forwards
ORL allow 81.7 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: 2nd most of 30
7 games
TodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 22.5 without him: 13 of 17; with him: 29 of 49 (66 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Over 22.5 without him: 5 of 6; with him: 37 of 60 (66 games as teammates)
Splits
Over 22.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ORL in his last 10; Over 22.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 22.5 · L10Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Miles BridgesF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ORL
Pts+Reb+Ast: 14 in 22 min, Mar 31 (away)
Over 22.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against ORL on record
L10 · Over 22.5
- Average
- 27.8
- +5.3 vs line
- Median
- 28
- +5.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −124
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −128
Research, not a pick. At −122 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −128, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8701 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −2304 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1243 books | −1082 books | 8/10 | |
| +1003 books | −1372 books | 7/10 | |
| +1204 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +3004 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +7701 book | — | 2/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 22.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 22.5 | Under 22.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel3 min ago | −122Best | −108 |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −124 | — |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | −125 | −106Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:31 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
22.5−125 → −124 since first seen


