Dillon Brooks

Phoenix Suns · F · #3

ORL @ PHX · Live

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Assists, typical price −1773 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at OKC, 2026-04-19: 2, hit, 32 min
at OKC, 2026-04-22: 1, hit, 38 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-25: 1, hit, 37 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-27: 3, missed, 42 min
at POR, 2026-10-21: 0, hit, 27 min
vs GS, 2026-10-24: 5, missed, 34 min
at OKC, 2026-10-26: 5, missed, 33 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-30: 2, hit, 21 min
at GS, 2026-11-02: 4, missed, 34 min
vs POR, 2026-11-04: 2, hit, 35 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1–5 assists.

What's different yesterday

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayDefense vs forwards
ORL allow 10.9 assists a game to forwards: the most of 30
7 games
YesterdayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Under 2.5 without him: 12 of 17; with him: 34 of 49 (66 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Under 2.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: 42 of 60 (66 games as teammates)

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ORL in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 5 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Miles BridgesF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ORL

Assists: 0 in 22 min, Mar 31 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against ORL on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −177
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −130

Research, not a pick. At −170 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −130, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−14501 book	—	1/10
−2501 book	—	3/10
+1273 books	−1772 books	6/10
+2752 books	—	7/10
+7503 books	—	8/10
+16801 book	—	10/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Pinnacle6 hr ago	+127	−170Best
DraftKings6 hr ago	+134Best	−177
Bally Bet6 hr ago	+116	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under: −136 → −177 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+0.6%

Rest−3%

Dillon Brooks's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.