Dillon Brooks
ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM
Game log against Under 2.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 2.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 assists.
What's different today
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs forwards
ORL allow 10.9 assists a game to forwards: the most of 30
7 games
TodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Under 2.5 without him: 12 of 17; with him: 34 of 49 (66 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Under 2.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: 42 of 60 (66 games as teammates)
Splits
Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ORL in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 5 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L10Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Miles BridgesF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ORL
Assists: 0 in 22 min, Mar 31 (away)
Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against ORL on record
L10 · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2.5
- ±0 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 62%
- at −166
- Books’ fair
- 58%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −130
Research, not a pick. At −157 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −130, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −20002 books | — | 1/10 | |
| −2505 books | +1701 book | 3/10 | |
| +1176 books | −1665 books | 6/10 | |
| +2805 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +5756 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +14002 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +25001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX1 min ago | +117 | −157Best |
| BetRivers1 min ago | +116 | −159 |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +130Best | −166 |
| Bovada1 min ago | +130Best | −170 |
| DraftKings2 min ago | +130Best | −172 |
| Bally Bet1 min ago | +117 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:20 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Under: −136 → −166 since first seen