Dillon Brooks
ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PMGame log against Over 1.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 1.5 without him: 13 of 17; with him: 31 of 49 (66 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 6; with him: 41 of 60 (66 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
ORL allow 4.3 threes made a game to forwards: 20th most of 30
7 games
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ORL in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L10Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Miles BridgesF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ORL
3-Pointers Made: 1 in 22 min, Mar 31 (away)
Over 1.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against ORL on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 2.5
- +1 vs line
- Median
- 2.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 62%
- at −162
- Books’ fair
- 58%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −145
Research, not a pick. At −157 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −145, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8355 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1626 books | +1205 books | 7/10 | |
| +1805 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +4205 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +9005 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +22002 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle16 min ago | −157Best | +118 |
| DraftKings16 min ago | −158 | +119 |
| Bally Bet16 min ago | −162 | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −162 | +120 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −162 | +120 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −162 | +122Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:26 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: −166 → −162 since first seen


