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Dillon Brooks
PHX @ GSSuns @ Warriors · Today 10:00 PM ET
The line
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made
Typical price −1627 sportsbooksbest −159
Game log
Over 1.5Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
Home and away
L10 · Over 1.5Home
80%
4 of 5
Awaytonight
60%
3 of 5
L10 · Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made
- Average
- 2.7
- +1.2 vs line
- Median
- 3
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 62%
- −162, 7 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 58%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −153
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −159 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −153, so it isn't worth it.
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −159Best | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −159Best | +118 |
| BetRiversjust now | −159Best | +118 |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −162 | +122 |
| Bovada4 min ago | −170 | +130 |
| DraftKings10 min ago | −170 | +128 |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −170 | +132Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:17 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −9003 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1627 books | +1256 books | 7/10 | |
| +1756 books | −2401 book | 6/10 | |
| +4206 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +8986 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +20003 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +35001 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +50001 book | — | 0/10 |