Devin Booker
ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PMGame log against Under 9.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 9.5 Reb+Ast hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 4.6–12.7 reb+ast.
What's different today
Under 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Under 9.5 without him: 16 of 31; with him: 19 of 43 (74 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 35.6 min · 2025–26: 33.8 (68 games)
Game lines
PHX −1.5 · total 221.5 (5 sportsbooks)
PHX's games this season closed at 227 on average (6 games)
Splits
Under 9.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ORL in his last 10; Under 9.5 hit in 3 of 5 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 9.5 · L10Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Miles BridgesF
Mark WilliamsCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ORL
Reb+Ast: 10 in 36 min, Mar 31 (away)
Under 9.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against ORL on record
L10 · Under 9.5
- Average
- 8.3
- −1.2 vs line
- Median
- 8
- −1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −145
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −136
Research, not a pick. At −144 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −136, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2552 books | +1751 book | 4/10 | |
| −1542 books | +1102 books | 6/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| +1105 books | −1453 books | 7/10 | |
| +2751 book | — | 9/10 | |
| +10002 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +25001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks at 9.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings3 min ago | +109 | −144Best |
| Bovada2 min ago | +110Best | −145 |
| betPARX3 min ago | +110Best | −150 |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | +110Best | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | +110Best | — |
Prices as of 3:00 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
9.58.5 → 9.5 since first seen


