Devin Booker
POR @ PHX · Tomorrow 9:00 PMWhat's different tonight
Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 8.5 without him: 19 of 30; with him: 26 of 43 (73 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 34.6 min · 2025–26: 33.8 (68 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at GS
Game lines
PHX +2.5 · total 227.5 (6 sportsbooks)
PHX's games this season closed at 226.9 on average (5 games)
Game log against Over 8.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 8.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 5.6–13.4 reb+ast.
Splits
Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 8.5 · L10Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Miles BridgesF
Mark WilliamsCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs POR
Reb+Ast: 6 in 29 min, Oct 21 (away)
Over 8.5 hit in 5 of 8 games against POR on record
L10 · Over 8.5
- Average
- 9.4
- +0.9 vs line
- Median
- 8.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −133
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −130
Research, not a pick. At −133 the price is worse than our fair −130, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −16001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −2201 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1331 book | +1011 book | 5/10 | |
| +1152 books | −1461 book | 4/10 | |
| +2901 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +10001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 8.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 8.5 | Under 8.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings15 min ago | −133Best | +101Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:01 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
8.59.5 → 8.5 since first seen


