Devin Booker
POR @ PHX · LiveGame log against Over 4.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 4.5 Assists cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 3–9 assists.
What's different today
Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs guards
POR allow 12.8 assists a game to guards: 28th most of 30
6 games
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 4.5 without him: 23 of 30; with him: 28 of 43 (73 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Over 4.5 without him: 5 of 10; with him: 46 of 63 (73 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 34.6 min · 2025–26: 33.8 (68 games)
Splits
Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 4.5 · L10Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Miles BridgesF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs POR
Assists: 2 in 29 min, Oct 21 (away)
Over 4.5 hit in 6 of 8 games against POR on record
L10 · Over 4.5
- Average
- 5.4
- +0.9 vs line
- Median
- 5.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 62%
- at −162
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 63%
- estimate · fair −173
Research, not a pick. At −135 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −173, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −11004 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −3752 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1624 books | +1073 books | 7/10 | |
| +1443 books | −1901 book | 5/10 | |
| +2604 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +3752 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +8803 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada3 hr ago | −135Best | +105 |
| DraftKings3 hr ago | −141 | +107 |
| Pinnacle3 hr ago | −162 | +122Best |
| Bally Bet3 hr ago | −167 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5No move since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.


