Devin Booker

Phoenix Suns · G · #15

POR @ PHX · Tomorrow 9:00 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Assists, typical price −1491 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs guards
POR allow 12.8 assists a game to guards: 28th most of 30
6 games
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 4.5 without him: 23 of 30; with him: 28 of 43 (73 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 34.6 min · 2025–26: 33.8 (68 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at GS

70%7 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Assists cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 at home).

vs DAL, 2026-04-08: 9, cleared, 37 min
at OKC, 2026-04-19: 2, missed, 33 min
at OKC, 2026-04-22: 4, missed, 40 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-25: 7, cleared, 39 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-27: 6, cleared, 41 min
at POR, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 29 min
vs GS, 2026-10-24: 7, cleared, 36 min
at OKC, 2026-10-26: 7, cleared, 34 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-30: 5, cleared, 39 min
at GS, 2026-11-02: 5, cleared, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 3–9 assists.

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L10

Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Miles BridgesF
Mark WilliamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs POR

Assists: 2 in 29 min, Oct 21 (away)

Over 4.5 hit in 6 of 8 games against POR on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 5.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 5.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −149
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −171

Research, not a pick. At −149 the price beats our fair −171, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−60001 book	—	10/10
−3382 books	—	8/10
−1491 book	+1131 book	7/10
+1302 books	−1721 book	5/10
+2531 book	—	4/10
+4572 books	—	1/10
+13102 books	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
DraftKings4 min ago	−149Best	+113Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:33 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

5.5 → 4.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Devin Booker's full game log and splits