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Desmond Bane

Orlando Magic · G · #3

WSH @ ORL · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
OverUnder3.5
Under 3.5 Assists, typical price +1256 sportsbooks · consensus line

Game log against Under 3.5

80%8 of 10L10

Under 3.5 Assists hit in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 at home).

  1. vs DET, 2026-04-27: 1, hit
  2. at DET, 2026-04-29: 1, hit
  3. vs DET, 2026-05-01: 1, hit
  4. at DET, 2026-05-03: 3, hit
  5. vs ATL, 2026-10-21: 2, hit
  6. vs MIN, 2026-10-23: 0, hit
  7. at NY, 2026-10-25: 2, hit
  8. at TOR, 2026-10-28: 4, missed
  9. at TOR, 2026-10-30: 6, missed
  10. vs BOS, 2026-11-01: 1, hit
Under hitMissedThe 3.5 line

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1–5 assists.

No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.

L10 · Under 3.5

Average
2.1
−1.4 vs line
Median
1.5
−2 vs line
Hit rate
80%
8 of 10
Price implies
44%
at +125
Books’ fair
43%
margin removed
Our chance
58%
estimate · fair −136

Research, not a pick. At +130 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−16674 books—5/10
−3755 books—7/10
−1546 books+1255 books8/10
pick'em onlypick'em only8/10
+1455 books−1701 book9/10
+2854 books—9/10
+5255 books—10/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
FanDuel9 hr ago−166+130Best
Pinnacle9 hr ago−174+130Best
Bovada9 hr ago−165+125
betPARX9 hr ago−143Best+107
BetRivers9 hr ago−143Best+106
Bally Bet9 hr ago−143Best—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

What moved our number

Pace+2%
Rest−3%
Desmond Bane's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.