Derrick White
MIL @ BOS · Today 7:30 PMWhat's different today
Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs guards
MIL allow 63.3 points a game to guards: 4th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 28.2 min · 2025–26: 34.2 (84 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at HOU
Game lines
BOS −11.5 · total 223.5 (9 sportsbooks)
BOS's games this season closed at 224.5 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 16.5
20%2 of 10L10
Over 16.5 Points cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 at home).
Splits
Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIL in his last 10; Over 16.5 cleared in 3 of 8 against MIL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 16.5 · L10Jayson TatumFDay-To-Day
Paul GeorgeF
Payton PritchardGDay-To-Day
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Celtics count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIL
Points: 17 in 31 min, Apr 3 (away)
Over 16.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against MIL on record
L10 · Over 16.5
- Average
- 12.1
- −4.4 vs line
- Median
- 11.5
- −5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 20%
- 2 of 10
- Price implies
- 51%
- at −103
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 32.3
- 10 games · 34.2 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 48%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2301 book | +1701 book | 3/10 | |
| −1703 books | +1301 book | 3/10 | |
| −1351 book | +1051 book | 3/10 | |
| −1033 books | −1253 books | 2/10 | |
| +1202 books | −1601 book | 1/10 | |
| +1501 book | −2001 book | 1/10 | |
| +1933 books | −2601 book | 1/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 16.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 16.5 | Under 16.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel3 min ago | −102Best | −130 |
| DraftKings2 min ago | −103 | −124Best |
| Bovada2 min ago | −105 | −125 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:38 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
16.5−102 → −103 since first seen


