Derik Queen
UTAH @ NO · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 10.5
86%6 of 7L20 · Without Murphy
Over 10.5 Points cleared in 6 of 7 games without Trey Murphy III (his last 20 games).
What's different today
Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pick4 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Trey Murphy III playing; Murphy is out today. Without him: Over 10.5 in 8 of 15.
TodayTeammate out
Trey Murphy III: Out (knee)
Over 10.5 without him: 8 of 15; with him: 36 of 73 (88 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Poole: Out (ankle)
Over 10.5 without him: 24 of 46; with him: 20 of 42 (88 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 10.5 without him: 16 of 21; with him: 28 of 67 (88 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
UTAH allow 11.6 points a game to centers: 21st most of 30
7 games
Splits
Over 10.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 10.5 · L20Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Trey Murphy IIIFOut
Jordan PooleGOut
Yves MissiCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs UTAH
Points: 12 in 29 min, Oct 23 (away)
Over 10.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against UTAH on record
L20 · Without Murphy · Over 10.5
- Average
- 15.9
- +5.4 vs line
- Median
- 13
- +2.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 86%
- 6 of 7
- Price implies
- 51%
- at −104
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 29
- 7 games · 25 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 10.5 48%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Murphy| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2755 books | — | 6/7 | |
| −2301 book | — | 6/7 | |
| −1435 books | — | 6/7 | |
| −1046 books | −1235 books | 6/7 | |
| +1235 books | — | 5/7 | |
| +1581 book | — | 5/7 | |
| +2054 books | — | 3/7 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 10.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 10.5 | Under 10.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX4 min ago | −103Best | −129 |
| Bally Bet6 min ago | −104 | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −104 | −130 |
| DraftKings6 min ago | −104 | −123 |
| Pinnacle6 min ago | −109 | −121 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −115 | −111Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:22 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
10.5+100 → −104 since first seen


