Deni Avdija

Portland Trail Blazers · F · #8

POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks, typical price −1503 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

62%8 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe

Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks hit in 8 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).

vs DAL, 2026-03-27: 3, missed, 38 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-29: 2, missed, 28 min
at LAC, 2026-03-31: 0, hit, 34 min
vs NO, 2026-04-02: 3, missed, 37 min
at DEN, 2026-04-06: 2, missed, 40 min
at SA, 2026-04-08: 0, hit, 38 min
vs LAC, 2026-04-10: 2, missed, 35 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-04-12: 0, hit, 33 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-19: 2, missed, 39 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-21: 1, hit, 30 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-24: 0, hit, 37 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-26: 1, hit, 37 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-28: 1, hit, 32 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 23 min
at SAC, 2026-10-23: 1, hit, 38 min
at LAL, 2026-10-27: 1, hit, 33 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-29: 1, hit, 32 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-31: 1, hit, 30 min
at DEN, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 35 min
at PHX, 2026-11-04: 0, hit, 35 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals+blocks.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 20 of 31; with him: 31 of 47 (78 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 1.5 without him: 3 of 3; with him: 3 of 4 (7 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33 min · 2025–26: 33.5 (71 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at PHX
4th straight road game

Splits

Under 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L20

Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Jrue HolidayG
Ja MorantGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAL

Steals+Blocks: 1 in 33 min, Oct 27 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 5 of 8 games against LAL on record

L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 1.5

Average: 1.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 62%; 8 of 13
Price implies: 60%; at −150
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 64%; estimate · fair −176

Research, not a pick. At −150 the price beats our fair −176, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−4003 books	—	4/13
+1103 books	−1501 book	8/13
+3303 books	—	11/13

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
betPARX1 min ago	+110	−150Best
Bally Bet7 min ago	+112Best	—
BetRivers3 min ago	+110	—

Prices as of 3:00 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Deni Avdija's full game log and splits