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DeMar DeRozan

Denver Nuggets · G · #10

TOR @ DEN · Tomorrow 9:00 PM
OverUnder10.5
—2 pick'em apps, no priceUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TonightMinutes

    Last 5: 24.6 min · 2025–26: 31.3 (77 games) · down 21%

  • Teammate out

    Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)

    Over 10.5 without him: 3 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)

  • New team

    6 games with DEN; before that, SAC

    Over 10.5 with DEN: 3 of 6; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10

  • Defense vs guards

    TOR allow 60.7 points a game to guards: 9th most of 30

    7 games

Game log against Over 10.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 10.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

  1. at ATL, 2026-03-28: 22, cleared, 30 min
  2. at TOR, 2026-04-01: 28, cleared, 35 min
  3. vs NO, 2026-04-03: 14, cleared, 23 min
  4. vs LAC, 2026-04-05: 9, missed, 10 min
  5. at OKC, 2026-10-22: 13, cleared, 28 min
  6. vs NO, 2026-10-24: 12, cleared, 24 min
  7. vs GS, 2026-10-26: 21, cleared, 29 min
  8. at NO, 2026-10-28: 6, missed, 26 min
  9. at PHX, 2026-10-30: 3, missed, 24 min
  10. vs POR, 2026-11-02: 9, missed, 20 min
ClearedMissedThe 10.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 10.5 · L10
  • Nikola JokicC

  • Jamal MurrayG

  • Aaron GordonF

  • Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

DeRozan didn't play the Mar 20 meeting; points the last time DeRozan faced them: 28 (Apr 1)

Over 10.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 10.5

Average
13.7
+3.2 vs line
Median
12.5
+2 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
—
2 pick'em apps, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Minutes
24.9
10 games · 31.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 2 pick'em apps (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
pick'em onlypick'em only6/10
Compare 2 pick'em apps at 10.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 10.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 10.5Under 10.5
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:34 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

10.5

12.5 → 10.5 since we started recording it

DeMar DeRozan's full game log and splits