Dejounte Murray

New Orleans Pelicans · G · #5

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Steals, typical price −1552 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

vs CLE, 2026-03-21: 1, missed, 30 min
at NY, 2026-03-24: 1, missed, 28 min
at DET, 2026-03-26: 3, cleared, 29 min
vs HOU, 2026-03-29: 1, missed, 28 min
at POR, 2026-04-02: 2, cleared, 28 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 2, cleared, 34 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 30 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 35 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 30 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-04: 4, cleared, 45 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 steals.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayBack from an absence
Today's game is his 2nd back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 29 – Nov 2)
Over 1.5 since: 1 of 1
TodayMinutes
Last 5: 34.8 min · 2025–26: 27.9 (14 games) · up 25%
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 7 of 14 (19 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MIN allow 3.9 steals a game to guards: 20th most of 30
9 games

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Jeremiah FearsG
Zion WilliamsonF
Trey Murphy IIIFDay-To-Day
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Murray didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; steals the last time Murray faced them: 6 (Jan 7, 2025)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2; +0.5 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −155
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −130

Research, not a pick. At −140 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −130, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7402 books	—	10/10
−1552 books	+1061 book	6/10
+1952 books	—	3/10
+5032 books	—	1/10
+11802 books	—	0/10
+22001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−140Best	+106Best
DraftKings11 min ago	−155	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:50 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Dejounte Murray's full game log and splits